U&PU is a blawg,
which lawyer/blogger Denise Howell (Bag and Baggage) defined as
"a web log written by lawyers and/or concerned primarily with legal affairs."

Topics shall also include
- linguistics (often as it relates to law)
- politics and current events
- philosophy and jurisprudence, and naturally
Stuff Worth Reading, which includes books, articles, posts, caselaw, and more.

Read, share, and enjoy. Some rights reserved.

Unused and Probably Unusable

-- a linguistically inclined blawg

Tuesday, January 31, 2006

Ninth Circuit Partial Birth decision
As Howard helpfully pointed out, the Ninth Circuit came out with a unanimous decision today striking down the federal abortion law which outlawed partial birth abortions. Once again, taking the statute at face value means buying the proponent's phrasing, and therefore the premise: and as the court points out, there's no such animal as a partial birth abortion. The opinion itself prefers the term D&E (short for dilation and extraction), which comes in the varieties of intact and non-intact. The opinion goes into some detail on what is meant by the procedures, particularly in discussing whether the law is unconstitutionally vague and uncertain by failing to let doctors know what actions would be breaking the law.

Lyle over at SCOTUSblog gives a nice summary of the decision. I found the decision itself worth a read, although it does clock in at a sleek 64 pages.

[I notice even more abortion-related fireworks - Howard has the story as the Second Circuit also checks in. Their opinion apparently also finds the Partial Birth Abortion Ban to be unconstitutional, but doesn't address the remedy issue, which the Ninth Circuit decision does.]

That remedy issue is what was squarely confronted by the just-minted Supreme Court decision in Planned Parenthood v. Ayotte (the only thing, in fact, which was squarely confronted by that interestingly narrow unanimous opinion). Once the Ninth Circuit found that the PBAB was unconstitutional for three independent reasons (no health exception, too vague, and creates an undue burden), it had to decide, as per Ayotte, whether to strike down the law entirely or whether some narrower relief might be possible.

This led the court into a fascinating discussion of which Congress would have preferred: no law at all, or the law with a health-of-the-mother exception engrafted. Due, among other things, to a quite complete legislative record, including votes to defeat amendments to achieve exactly that, the Court determined that no remedy would do other than declaring the entire law unconstitutional.

Another feature of the decision I found pretty fascinating was the question whether deference to Congress was warranted. Congressional sponsors attempted to overrule prior Supreme Court rulings which required a health exception by placing a Congressional Finding in the law, stating that there existed a medical consensus that there was no circumstance under which medical necessity required the procedure being outlawed. A big statement, and not in fact uncontrovertibly true, but supporters of the law argued in court that the finding should be accorded deference; if that were so, the Court shouldn't go behind it to determine if it was, you know, true.

The Ninth Circuit's opinion declares this a red herring, and labels the key inquiry whether or not there is in fact a medical consensus that the procedure is ever medically necessary. Since Congress was arguing their conclusion, rather than accurately summarizing the state of medical consensus (or lack thereof), the court declined to defer to an objectively unreasonable finding.

It seems that once again, the sponsors' insistence on removing any health exception (because, in their view, any such exception would be broadened indefinitely by providers and advocates) has sunk any chances of this ban being declared legal.

Also interesting in the opinion: the Ninth Circuit identifies the phrase "living fetus" (as opposed to "viable fetus") as another feature that makes the law unacceptably broad, as encompassing and therefore outlawing a far greater number of abortions than the supporters of the Bill originally claimed. I wonder, was the phrase included for dramatic purposes?

Tuesday, January 24, 2006

Counting to 6 - or, Path Dependence in Action
Howard has been all over the Ninth Circuit decision involving Yahoo!, French anti-bigotry groups' attempts to prevent the online auction of Nazi memorabilia (by La Ligue Contre Le Racisme et L'Antisemitisme), the First Amendment, personal jurisdiction, and, oddly enough, counting to 6.

The result: an example of apparent paradox. There were two ways of reaching the result that favored Yahoo!; in both cases, there was a majority (by counting) of the voting judges who believed the issue should be resolved in Yahoo's favor. But because of the way the opinions lined up, dissenting judges on one issue added to dissenters on the other produced a majority in favor of Yahoo!'s defeat.

This sort of thing would generally not be countenanced in a jury verdict. I would have thought that in order to decide two issues it would have to be done one at a time. If the decisionmaker rules there was no personal jurisdiction, the analysis should stop at that point. If there is such jurisdiction, then that ground should fail. If at the next stage of inquiry it is decided that the controversy is not ripe, again you stop; if on the other hand you have (for a panel of judges) a majority, then how do you justify this kind of result:

As Justice Felix Frankfurter's dissenting opinion concludes, "A substantial majority of the Court agrees that each of the two grounds urged in support of the attempt by Congress to extend diversity jurisdiction to cases involving citizens of the District of Columbia must be rejected-but not the same majority. And so, conflicting minorities in combination bring to pass a result-paradoxical as it may appear-which differing majorities of the Court find insupportable."
How Appealing, passing along a quote from the 1949 Supreme Court case of National Mutual Insurance v Tidewater Transfer Co (opinion).

I guess it goes to show: judicial decisions may not be path dependent. Even if neither of the two possible ways that the court could have reached that result are supported by a majority of the judges voting, the majority-by-numbers outcome can still win. Sounds like a quantum-physical spooky outcome to me.

update: Since those last few words drew some interest...

In quantum physics, an electron doesn't always act like a particle, with a discrete mass and well-defined location. In fact, you can't ever narrow down both the location and the momentum of an electron below a certain limit - that's Heisenberg's uncertainty principle. It doesn't always act like a wave, either; when it hits a detector, it looks particle-like. Particulate, you could call it. Thus, the so-called wavicle paradox. Paradoxical only because in our ordinary experience, an object (at the everyday, human scale) can only pass through one of two slits at a time on its way from here to there. A wave, if it passes through both at once, can't be a particle. But at the quantum level, things are different.

One of the differences is that you get the counter-intuitive, almost spooky result that events are probabilistic, and the likelihood of the overall outcome being one particular way depends on the concatenation of the likelihood of all the possible paths that lead to that outcome.

In counting votes, as in calculating electron flight-paths, it's the ultimate result of the calculation, not all the sub-steps, which provide the overall result.

And yet, if you really want to know what the holding of the case is, you have to look at the substeps; is there personal jurisdiction or ripeness under these facts? Well, check the opinion-breakdown on that issue alone.

Takeaway: the law in the 9th Circuit on Yahoo's case is favorable on both issues, and it loses anyway. Sometimes the world is stranger than we can understand.

Wednesday, January 18, 2006

Clever WoT: when it hits, it really hits.
Over at Clever WoT (Waste Of Time, not a pun on "Clever, what?") the occasionally-brilliant, oft-entertaining Kurt posts helpful answers to the questions implied by the searches that propelled folks to his blog.

Since it appears to be fashionable amongst the more illiterate segments of Brit society to spell "what" as "wot," in keeping with their alien pronunciation, Kurt gets a fair number of search hits from people with questions like "wot does tigers eat". If these folks represented the Future, there'd be trouble. Fortunately, I don't think they represent the future.

I note that the linked post has been admired by the Fark community - linklove is always a nice thing, if you can stand the traffic.

Kurt previously discussed "spelling-deficient English kids" at Wot Happened to Spelling?, which provides additional examples of disturbing mangling of the Anguished Linguage.

Wednesday, January 11, 2006

Plausible-sounding economics: Not Necessarily Not Wrong
I don't usually just post links to another blawg...but...

A simple Coasian test for some kinds of economic bollocks, over at Crooked Timber, is worth reading.

Daniel goes through a fascinating (to me) exploration of the assumptions in a Steven Landsburg "economics" article on Slate, in which Steven uses economics-esque reasoning and some plausible-sounding arguments to come to a conclusion which is what he calls "counterintuitive" and which everyone else calls things like "wrong" and "morally stupid" and "idiotic" and "obviously calling for some serious mockery."

Steven's article, which I decline to link to directly, examined what people would pay in advance to avoid the risk of being taken off a ventilator because they couldn't afford to pay, and concluded that the poor would not want to pay, and that therefore they should be taken off ventilators if they could not pay - it's moral!

Daniel's thoughtful analysis includes working Steven's numbers a little more carefully, and pointing out some hidden assumptions. Assumptions which, if false, mean there's no economic analysis that can be performed. Which is to say, unless certain felicity conditions are met, you aren't doing economics at all, you're using economic tools or reasoning or rhetoric on an area where the values are undefined. That is, you're blowing smoke.

Another case where, I would argue, plausible should not be confused with "correct."

This has been another in a continuing series of "Plausible, But Wrong" posts. Er, the subject is plausible. Not the post. The posts are implausible. Right. Onward and ever upward.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Plausible-sounding economics: Not Necessarily Not Wrong
  2. Easier to be plausible, than to be right

Monday, January 9, 2006

Easier to be plausible, than to be right
Proving once again that Blogs, and in particular Blawgs, are better at sounding plausible than getting things dead right, we have the latest non-scandal.

Like many non-events, including most of the Patriot Act, the Frist stock-trading non-scandal, and innumerable other Big Bad Things That Didn't Happen, at least not the way that they were at first portrayed, the blawgs were quick to disseminate the big news:

They're criminalizing anonablawging!

Well, sort of.

Criminalizing trolls!

Not exactly.

As Kip, Esquire brilliantly stitches (that is, rapidly notes without much need for depth, because he's accurate) on the new bits of the Violence Against Women Act (VAWA),

New VAWA 'Annoying' Clause is Indeed Annoying -- But Not to Blogs

It's about _transmissions_, not blog posts. It does specify anonymity, and it says "annoy." But it also specifies "obscene, lewd, lascivious, filthy, or indecent." It also isn't new that it is criminal to send an anonymous harassing phone call containing non-protected speech. What's new is that if you send the phone call via the Internet it's now illegal. That's it. That's all.

So when Mike says at Congress Passes, and the President Signs, Laughably Unconstitutional Law, it's plausible. Not in fact, but on its face. He's following on Sean Sirrine, who may have gotten his information from someone more reliable than Declan McCullagh, but it's not the point. Dozens of blawg posts are surely going live with the same idea: annoying blog posts are being criminalized! This can't be constitutional!

It takes someone like Kip to actually, say, examine the content of the law - be it ever so briefly - and pass on, not hysteria, but thoughtful commentary based on the _actual law_. I expect to see many, many more excellent blawg posts on a law that doesn't exist in the next week or two. How the law (that doesn't exist) would be unconstitutional. Why the law (as it wasn't passed) should not be passed. Why Congress and/or the President are foolishing for passing the law they didn't pass. Etc.

As this post title suggests, I'm getting tired of blawging that's more plausible than correct. The first is easy; just apply mostly-rigorous reasoning to rumor and speculation. The second is harder, requiring either careful research and reading, or exceptionally rigorous reasoning applied to rumor and speculation. In any case, GIGO. Your conclusions are only as good as your inputs, multiplied by the size of the grain of salt you assume in calculating the likelihood that your inputs are in fact false.

Related Posts (on one page):

  1. Plausible-sounding economics: Not Necessarily Not Wrong
  2. Easier to be plausible, than to be right